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Will she or won’t she? Harris in ’28?

September 15, 2026
Let me preface this essay by saying that I don’t have the slightest idea whether Kamala Harris is going to run for president again in 2028. She has said publicly that she’s “thinking about it.” And Gov. Gavin Newsom jolted the political world recently by saying he would defer to her if she did. What...
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Will MAGA outlive Trump? Don’t bet on it.

July 25, 2026
A lot of brain power has been spent engaging in speculation about who might inherit the so-called MAGA base when Trump finally exits stage right in 2028. Bringing history into the equation, the short answer may be no one.Although admittedly not an exact parallel, it might be useful to look at the pr...
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Kamala Harris is polling well, which signifies nothing

March 24, 2026
When I read all the hype being heaped on Kamala Harris’ lead in early polls for the 2028 Democratic nomination, I have to chuckle to myself. The release of a Rasmussen Reports poll in February was titled, “Kamala Harris Still Leads 2028 Field for Democrats.” One headline in the Hill predicted, “Kama...
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I take it back: A California Democrat can be elected president

December 11, 2025
In 2022, I penned a piece for The Hill about why there had never been a Democratic presidential nominee from California, let alone a Democratic president from the state.  Among other things, I posited that California was “the big kid on the block that everyone loves to hate,” includin...
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With Harris Out, X Factor Looms in ’26 CA Governor’s Race

August 1, 2025
With Kamala Harris opting out of the 2026 race for governor of California, attention now turns to the remaining announced Democratic candidates in the field in this overwhelmingly Democratic state. There are six significant and arguably viable Democrats running, including Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis; ...
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To become governor, Kamala Harris must leap hurdles she created

June 7, 2025
I have no inside knowledge or insight as to whether Kamala Harris will run for governor of California in 2026. I’m not looped into her inner circle or decision-making process. But as someone who has advised many potential candidates about whether to run for offices from president to city council, I ...
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Newsom will loom large over ’26 race

June 5, 2025
Next year will see a whole new governor’s race in the Golden State, to replace the term-limited Gavin Newsom. (Gosh, can his eight years almost be up already?) In my view, Newsom will be a very hard act to follow for any Democrat aspiring to take his place. Think what you will about Newsom’s persona...
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